2026-08-27
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 6 highest outputs selected from 15 games across 4 leagues.
01 · 라리가 · Aug 27 (Thu) · 12:00 PDT
Athletic Club Team corners 5+· Team Corners O 4.5
Athletic Club @ Barcelona
87.0%
team expected corners 9.0 — scoring distribution P(5+)· calibration -8pp (past 4,700 calibration adjusted)
02 · 라리가 · Aug 27 (Thu) · 11:30 PDT
Osasuna Team corners 5+· Team Corners O 4.5
Osasuna @ Celta Vigo
84.0%
team expected corners 7.0 — scoring distribution P(5+)· calibration +1pp (past 4,700 calibration adjusted)
03 · WNBA · Aug 27 (Thu) · 7:00 PDT
Washington Mystics Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability
Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury
78.0%
season record 23-15 vs 13-25 — away adjustment applied
04 · MLB · Aug 27 (Thu) · 10:05 PDT
Luis García Jr. Hits 1+· hits 1+
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals
76.0%
Season AVG 0.283 → form·L/Rplatoon· Statcast xBA 0.287 adjusted 0.306, probability of 1+ hits in 4 PA (binomial)· simulation· stacking -11pp (meta-model over 5,258 past events)
05 · MLB · Aug 27 (Thu) · 4:10 PDT
Milwaukee Brewers Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets
70.0%
season win% 0.617 (away 82-51) vs home 60-73 0.451, matchup combination after the away discount· strength index+simulation adjusted (strength index 54.4% × simulation 77.7% blend 3.0:7.0, RD 45)
06 · NFL · Aug 27 (Thu) · 5:00 PDT
New England Patriots Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability
New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns
69.0%
season record 1-0-1 vs 0-2 — away adjustment applied
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.