Disclaimer

Spolytics is a research tool that publishes model-estimated probabilities derived from public sports data. It is not a betting service and provides no way to place, accept, or settle a wager.

This site publishes no odds, lines, spreads, or sportsbook links, and has no affiliation with any sportsbook.

Every percentage shown is an estimate based on historical data. As our calibration report shows, the models carry measurable error and can differ from actual results. No financial decision should rely on these numbers.

This site is intended for users 18 and older. Sports wagering legality and age limits vary by U.S. state; you are responsible for the law where you live. Spolytics does not solicit, broker, or facilitate wagering in any jurisdiction.

Spolytics does not accept, transmit, broker, or settle bets, so it does not perform the conduct regulated by the federal Wire Act (18 U.S.C. §1084) or UIGEA (31 U.S.C. §5361 et seq.). There are no sportsbook links, affiliations, or posted odds; the only payment is a subscription fee, and no payout depends on the result of an event.

Under Washington law (RCW 9.46) this site is likewise not gambling: we take no stake, award no prize, and provide no betting account or funds transfer. Washington limits legal sports wagering to in-person tribal casinos, so do not use these statistics to place an unlawful online bet.

U.S.: 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) or ncpgambling.org/chat. Washington State Problem Gambling Helpline: 1-800-547-6133. Korea: helpline 1336.

We use public sources including the MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, public ESPN endpoints, Open-Meteo, and Naver Sports. Rights remain with the original providers; Spolytics publishes derived statistics only and will remove any dataset on a rights holder's request.