2026-09-05
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 6 highest outputs selected from 48 games across 8 leagues.
01 · EPL · Sep 5 (Sat) · 7:00 PDT
Manchester City 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Coventry City @ Manchester City
91.0%
team expected goals 1.92 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal· calibration +6pp (past 2,690 calibration adjusted)
02 · MLS · Sep 5 (Sat) · 4:30 PDT
Orlando City SC 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
San Diego FC @ Orlando City SC
89.0%
team expected goals 1.70 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal· calibration +7pp (past 320 beta adjusted)
03 · 분데스리가 · Sep 5 (Sat) · 6:30 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
RB Leipzig @ Werder Bremen
89.0%
combined expected goals 3.27 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals· calibration +5pp (past 2,690 calibration adjusted)
04 · 분데스리가 · Sep 5 (Sat) · 9:30 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Bayern Munich @ Schalke 04
89.0%
combined expected goals 3.28 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals· calibration +5pp (past 2,690 calibration adjusted)
05 · 리그 1 · Sep 5 (Sat) · 8:15 PDT
Lens 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Lorient @ Lens
89.0%
team expected goals 1.82 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal· calibration +5pp (past 2,690 calibration adjusted)
06 · EPL · Sep 5 (Sat) · 7:00 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Leeds United @ Brighton & Hove Albion
87.0%
combined expected goals 3.22 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals· calibration +4pp (past 2,690 calibration adjusted)
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.