2026-09-09
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 6 highest outputs selected from 27 games across 4 leagues.
01 · UCL · Sep 9 (Wed) · 12:00 PDT
Paris Saint-Germain 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Slovan Bratislava @ Paris Saint-Germain
92.0%
team expected goals 2.57 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
02 · MLS · Sep 9 (Wed) · 4:30 PDT
Atlanta United FC 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Orlando City SC @ Atlanta United FC
92.0%
team expected goals 2.54 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
03 · UCL · Sep 9 (Wed) · 9:45 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Viking FK @ VfB Stuttgart
90.0%
combined expected goals 3.87 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals
04 · MLS · Sep 9 (Wed) · 4:30 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Charlotte FC @ CF Montréal
85.0%
combined expected goals 3.35 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals
05 · NFL · Sep 9 (Wed) · 5:20 PDT
New England Patriots within 15 pts· Spread +14.5
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks
83.0%
expected margin 1.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
06 · MLB · Sep 9 (Wed) · 12:05 PDT
Kazuma Okamoto Hits 1+· hits 1+
Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics
81.0%
Season AVG 0.234 → form·L/Rplatoon· Statcast xBA 0.223 adjusted 0.252, probability of 1+ hits in 4 PA (binomial)· simulation· stacking -9pp (meta-model over 4,583 past events)
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.