2026-09-10
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 5 highest outputs selected from 12 games across 3 leagues.
01 · UCL · Sep 10 (Thu) · 12:00 PDT
Manchester United 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Sabah FK @ Manchester United
91.0%
team expected goals 2.44 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
02 · UCL · Sep 10 (Thu) · 12:00 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Bodo/Glimt @ Bayern Munich
89.0%
combined expected goals 3.81 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals
03 · MLB · Sep 10 (Thu) · 4:05 PDT
New York Yankees home +1.5· Run Line
Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees
81.0%
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.0 vs 4.2 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
04 · NFL · Sep 10 (Thu) · 5:35 PDT
San Francisco 49ers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams
79.0%
expected margin 3.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
05 · MLB · Sep 10 (Thu) · 10:05 PDT
Philadelphia Phillies home +1.5· Run Line
Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies
71.0%
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.1 vs 4.0 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.