2026-09-13
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 6 highest outputs selected from 44 games across 8 leagues.
01 · 분데스리가 · Sep 13 (Sun) · 6:30 PDT
RB Leipzig 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Hamburg SV @ RB Leipzig
91.0%
team expected goals 2.41 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
02 · 라리가 · Sep 13 (Sun) · 7:15 PDT
Barcelona 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Barcelona @ Levante
90.0%
team expected goals 2.58 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal· calibration -2pp (past 210 beta adjusted)
03 · 세리에 A · Sep 13 (Sun) · 6:00 PDT
Lecce Home Win· Home Win
Monza @ Lecce
90.0%
expected runs 1.07 vs 1.00 (home Points per game 0.77 / runs allowed 1.32) — sum of home-win cells in the scoring distribution score grid· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)· 1X2 normalized to 100%· Live adjusted (37'· 1 - 3 applied)
04 · 분데스리가 · Sep 13 (Sun) · 8:30 PDT
Bayern Munich 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Bayern Munich @ SV Elversberg
90.0%
team expected goals 2.28 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
05 · 라리가 · Sep 13 (Sun) · 5:00 PDT
Celta Vigo Home Win· Home Win
Málaga @ Celta Vigo
88.0%
expected runs 1.48 vs 1.04 (home Points per game 1.07 / runs allowed 1.26) — sum of home-win cells in the scoring distribution score grid· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)· 1X2 normalized to 100%· Live adjusted (78'· 0 - 1 applied)
06 · 리그 1 · Sep 13 (Sun) · 11:45 PDT
Paris Saint-Germain 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Paris Saint-Germain @ Brest
87.0%
team expected goals 2.02 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.