2026-09-18
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 6 highest outputs selected from 24 games across 8 leagues.
01 · WNBA · Sep 18 (Fri) · 4:30 PDT
Indiana Fever Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability
Indiana Fever @ Toronto Tempo
92.0%
season record 26-14 vs 11-29 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
02 · WNBA · Sep 18 (Fri) · 7:00 PDT
Golden State Valkyries Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability
Portland Fire @ Golden State Valkyries
89.0%
season record 29-11 vs 16-25 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 4 / away 7)· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
03 · 라리가 · Sep 18 (Fri) · 12:00 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Elche @ Espanyol
88.0%
combined expected goals 4.01 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals· calibration -3pp (past 210 beta adjusted)
04 · MLS · Sep 18 (Fri) · 4:30 PDT
New York City FC 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Red Bull New York @ New York City FC
88.0%
team expected goals 2.13 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
05 · 분데스리가 · Sep 18 (Fri) · 11:30 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
1. FC Union Berlin @ Bayern Munich
87.0%
combined expected goals 3.61 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals
06 · 리그 1 · Sep 18 (Fri) · 11:45 PDT
Lens 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Lens @ AS Monaco
84.0%
team expected goals 1.82 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.