2026-09-19
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 6 highest outputs selected from 44 games across 8 leagues.
01 · EPL · Sep 19 (Sat) · 9:30 PDT
Nottingham Forest 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Coventry City @ Nottingham Forest
91.0%
team expected goals 2.38 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
02 · 분데스리가 · Sep 19 (Sat) · 6:30 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
SC Freiburg @ Eintracht Frankfurt
90.0%
combined expected goals 3.88 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals
03 · WNBA · Sep 19 (Sat) · 6:00 PDT
Golden State Valkyries wins by 4+· Spread -3.5
Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries
90.0%
win probability 93% → expected margin 16.9 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 11.5 pts normal approximation
04 · MLS · Sep 19 (Sat) · 4:30 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Orlando City SC @ New England Revolution
88.0%
combined expected goals 3.87 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals
05 · WNBA · Sep 19 (Sat) · 4:00 PDT
Atlanta Dream Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability
Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream
88.0%
season record 27-14 vs 15-26 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 4)· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
06 · MLS · Sep 19 (Sat) · 4:30 PDT
Both Total 2+ goals· O 1.5
Columbus Crew @ CF Montréal
87.0%
combined expected goals 3.23 — scoring distribution chance of 2+ goals
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.