2026-09-22
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 4 highest outputs selected from 21 games across 2 leagues.
01 · WNBA · Sep 22 (Tue) · 7:00 PDT
Golden State Valkyries Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability
Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire
89.0%
season record 31-11 vs 16-27 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
02 · WNBA · Sep 22 (Tue) · 4:30 PDT
Washington Mystics wins by 4+· Spread -3.5
Connecticut Sun @ Washington Mystics
88.0%
win probability 93% → expected margin 17.1 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 11.5 pts normal approximation
03 · MLB · Sep 22 (Tue) · 6:40 PDT
Jo Adell Hits 1+· hits 1+
Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics
79.0%
Season AVG 0.239 → form·L/Rplatoon· Statcast xBA 0.256 adjusted 0.308, probability of 1+ hits in 4 PA (binomial)· simulation· stacking -10pp (meta-model over 4,501 past events)
04 · MLB · Sep 22 (Tue) · 4:15 PDT
Atlanta Braves home +1.5· Run Line
Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves
78.0%
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 3.5 vs 4.3 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.