2026-10-09
Today's highest probabilities
A frozen record of what the model computed on this morning. The numbers do not change after the games finish. 6 highest outputs selected from 7 games across 5 leagues.
01 · NBA · Oct 9 (Fri) · 5:00 PDT
Chicago Bulls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability
Memphis Grizzlies @ Chicago Bulls
91.0%
season record 1-0 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
02 · 분데스리가 · Oct 9 (Fri) · 11:30 PDT
Borussia Dortmund 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Werder Bremen @ Borussia Dortmund
88.0%
team expected goals 2.14 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
03 · 리그 1 · Oct 9 (Fri) · 11:45 PDT
Lyon 1+ goals· 1+ Goals
Lyon @ Lens
83.0%
team expected goals 1.80 — chance of scoring at least 1 goal
04 · WNBA · Oct 9 (Fri) · 6:30 PDT
Golden State Valkyries within 10 pts· Spread +9.5
Golden State Valkyries @ Las Vegas Aces
79.0%
expected margin 0.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
05 · NBA · Oct 9 (Fri) · 5:00 PDT
Houston Rockets within 10 pts· Spread +9.5
Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks
75.0%
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
06 · WNBA · Oct 9 (Fri) · 4:30 PDT
New York Liberty within 10 pts· Spread +9.5
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty
75.0%
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
All figures are probabilities computed from public statistics APIs. No odds, lines, or sportsbook information.