MissedNo pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability
expected runs 1.68 vs 1.17 (away Points per game 1.98 / runs allowed 1.43)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Sheffield United 25%Draw 26%Wolverhampton Wanderers 49%
Estimated range: Sheffield United 13.6–36.4%, Draw 14.4–37.6%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 34.8–61.2%
Wolverhampton Wanderers leads mainly on recent attacking output (0.51 more expected goals). The draw stays elevated at 26% because both totals sit in the low-scoring range where the Dixon-Coles correction adds weight.
Goal distribution
Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.
Home goals (rows) by away goals (columns) probability
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
9
8
4
2
1
6
12
10
5
2
2
4
7
6
3
1
3
1
3
2
1
4
5
Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
57%
Sheffield United clean sheet
19%
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet
31%
Head-to-head
Recent form (last 10)
Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.
