expected runs 1.93 vs 1.27 (home Points per game 1.73 / runs allowed 2.25) — sum of home-win cells in the scoring distribution score grid· 1X2 normalized to 100%
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Urawa Red Diamonds 52%Draw 24%Tokyo Verdy 1969 24%
Estimated range: Urawa Red Diamonds 38.8–65.2%, Draw 12.7–35.3%, Tokyo Verdy 1969 12.7–35.3%
Urawa Red Diamonds leads mainly on recent attacking output (0.66 more expected goals including home advantage). The draw sits at 24%, below the football average, because the total-goals estimate is high.
Goal distribution
Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.
Home goals (rows) by away goals (columns) probability
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
5
3
1
1
7
11
6
3
2
8
10
6
3
3
5
6
4
2
4
2
3
2
5
1
Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
Both teams score
62%
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet
28%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet
15%
Head-to-head
Recent form (last 10)
Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.
