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SPOLYTICS
BoardK League 1 / Game center

Anyang at Gwangju — Game center

Final K League 1
안양 team logo

Away

Anyang
11
Gwangju World Cup StadiumSep 13 (Sun) · 10:00 AM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast
Anyang52%
Draw27%
Gwangju21%

Locked before start

  • Anyang1+ goals· 1+ Goals83%Hit
  • BothTotal 2+ goals· O 1.576%Hit
  • Gwangju1+ goals· 1+ Goals66%Hit

Showing 3 of 13 locked markets

Behind the probability

expected runs 1.76 vs 1.09 (away Points per game 1.14 / runs allowed 1.57)

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability
Expected goal gap
1.09 - 1.76
+11.9%p
vs league average
2.85 vs 2.44 goals
-2.4%p

Head to head

AnyangGwangju

Model expected goals

1.761.09

Data source: Naver Sports API

Explore the models

Team stats6
total runs4
games3
Soccer deep dive
SPOLYTICS / MATCH CENTER
광주
KICKOFFSep 13 (Sun) · 10:00 AM UTCMODEL ANALYSIS
안양

MODEL ESTIMATES

Home win24.0%
Draw27.0%
Away win49.0%

Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Win / draw / loss probability

Gwangju 24%Draw 27%Anyang 49%

Estimated range: Gwangju 12.7–35.3%, Draw 15.3–38.7%, Anyang 35.8–62.2%

안양 leads mainly on recent attacking output (0.66 more expected goals). The draw stays elevated at 27% because both totals sit in the low-scoring range where the Dixon-Coles correction adds weight.

Goal distribution

Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.

Home goals (rows) by away goals (columns) probability
012345
099852
1711952
246531
31221
4
5

Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.

Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams score
54%
Gwangju clean sheet
21%
Anyang clean sheet
33%

Head-to-head

Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.

Recent form (last 10)

Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.

Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.

Lineups and availability

Confirmed lineups are not available yet. Player positions and formations are not inferred.

View model accuracy summary

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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.