Bucheon at Gangwon — Game center
Who has the advantage?
Locked at publishexpected runs 1.66 vs 0.74 (home Points per game 1.36 / runs allowed 0.93) — sum of home-win cells in the scoring distribution score grid· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· 1X2 normalized to 100%
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head
Model expected goals
Data source: Naver Sports API
Explore the models
Team stats6
total runs4
games3
Soccer deep dive
Not enough model data for an estimate.
Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Win / draw / loss probability
Estimated range: Gangwon 52.2–67.8%, Draw 19.9–34.1%, Bucheon 8.4–19.6%
강원 leads mainly on recent attacking output (0.92 more expected goals including home advantage). The draw stays elevated at 27% because both totals sit in the low-scoring range where the Dixon-Coles correction adds weight.
Goal distribution
Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Both teams score
- 42%
- Gangwon clean sheet
- 50%
- Bucheon clean sheet
- 19%
Head-to-head
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Recent form (last 10)
Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Lineups and availability
Confirmed lineups are not available yet. Player positions and formations are not inferred.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.