Gangwon at Gimcheon — Game center
What did the model expect?
Pregame forecastLocked before start
- Gangwon1+ goals· 1+ Goals71%Hit
- Gimcheon1+ goals· 1+ Goals61%Hit
- BothTotal 2+ goals· O 1.562%Hit
Showing 3 of 13 locked markets
expected runs 1.20 vs 0.99 (away Points per game 1.36 / runs allowed 0.93)· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head
Model expected goals
Data source: Naver Sports API
Explore the models
Team stats6
total runs4
games3
Soccer deep dive
MODEL ESTIMATES
Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Win / draw / loss probability
Estimated range: Gimcheon 22.7–37.3%, Draw 25.5–40.5%, Gangwon 29.3–44.7%
강원 leads mainly on recent attacking output (0.21 more expected goals). The draw stays elevated at 33% because both totals sit in the low-scoring range where the Dixon-Coles correction adds weight.
Goal distribution
Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Both teams score
- 43%
- Gimcheon clean sheet
- 34%
- Gangwon clean sheet
- 37%
Head-to-head
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Recent form (last 10)
Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Lineups and availability
Confirmed lineups are not available yet. Player positions and formations are not inferred.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.