Incheon at Gangwon — Game center
What did the model expect?
Unverified model estimateexpected runs 1.37 vs 0.78 (home Points per game 1.36 / runs allowed 0.93) — sum of home-win cells in the scoring distribution score grid· 1X2 normalized to 100%
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head
Model expected goals
Data source: Naver Sports API
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Team stats6
total runs4
games3
Soccer deep dive
MODEL ESTIMATES
Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Win / draw / loss probability
Estimated range: Gangwon 37.8–64.2%, Draw 18.8–43.2%, Incheon 7.8–28.2%
강원 leads mainly on recent attacking output (0.58 more expected goals including home advantage). The draw stays elevated at 31% because both totals sit in the low-scoring range where the Dixon-Coles correction adds weight.
Goal distribution
Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Both teams score
- 40%
- Gangwon clean sheet
- 48%
- Incheon clean sheet
- 25%
Head-to-head
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Recent form (last 10)
Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Lineups and availability
Confirmed lineups are not available yet. Player positions and formations are not inferred.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.