Jeonbuk at Daejeon — Game center
Who has the advantage?
Locked at publishexpected runs 1.30 vs 1.20 (away Points per game 1.43 / runs allowed 0.93)· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head
Model expected goals
Data source: Naver Sports API
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Team stats6
total runs4
games3
Soccer deep dive
MODEL ESTIMATES
Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Win / draw / loss probability
Estimated range: Daejeon 26.4–41.6%, Draw 22.7–37.3%, Jeonbuk 28.3–43.7%
Attacking output is close (1.20 vs 1.30 expected goals), so no side separates clearly. The draw stays elevated at 30% because both totals sit in the low-scoring range where the Dixon-Coles correction adds weight.
Goal distribution
Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Daejeon clean sheet
- 31%
- Jeonbuk clean sheet
- 30%
Head-to-head
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Recent form (last 10)
Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.
Detailed match feeds are not available for this league.
Lineups and availability
Confirmed lineups are not available yet. Player positions and formations are not inferred.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.