Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers — Game center Final MLB
Oct 5 (Mon) · 12:00 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Atlanta Braves 5%
Los Angeles Dodgers 95%
Locked before start
Michael Harris II Hits 1+· hits 1+ 63% Hit Los Angeles Dodgers home +1.5· Run Line 97% Matt Olson Hits 1+· hits 1+ 58% Hit Showing 3 of 87 locked markets
Behind the probability season win% 0.500 (home 1-1) vs away 1-1 0.500, Home advantage +4%· injury home 7 / away 9, matchup combination model
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Matchup Box score
Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers
Pitching matchup
RK Ray Kerr Appearance confirmed
BS Blake Snell Appearance confirmed
Recent form · newest first
Partly Cloudy 95°F· wind 4 mph, Varies
Data source: MLB Stats API
Michael Harris II Hits 1+· hits 1+ Andy Pages Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mauricio Dubón Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 Los Angeles Dodgers home +1.5· Run Line High
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.1 vs 4.3 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
97% Los Angeles Dodgers home -1.5· Run Line High
expected runs 4.3 vs 4.1 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
67% Atlanta Braves away +1.5· Run Line Atlanta Braves away -1.5· Run Line games6 Los Angeles Dodgers Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Low
season win% 0.500 (home 1-1) vs away 1-1 0.500, Home advantage +4%· injury home 7 / away 9, matchup combination model
runs 2/4 Miss
95% Both teams total runs Under 8.5· Totals Los Angeles Dodgers team runs Over 4.5· Runs Both teams total runs Over 8.5· Totals Atlanta Braves team runs Over 4.5· Runs Atlanta Braves Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Low
season win% 0.500 (away 1-1) vs home 1-1 0.500, matchup combination after the away discount
runs 3/3 Hit
5% batter77 Michael Harris II Hits 1+· hits 1+ Andy Pages Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mauricio Dubón Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mookie Betts Hits 1+· hits 1+ Matt Olson Hits 1+· hits 1+ Drake Baldwin Hits 1+· hits 1+ Freddie Freeman Hits 1+· hits 1+ Shohei Ohtani Hits 1+· hits 1+ Kyle Tucker Hits 1+· hits 1+ Ozzie Albies Hits 1+· hits 1+ Austin Riley Hits 1+· hits 1+ Shohei Ohtani Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Matt Olson Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Shohei Ohtani Walks 1+· walks 1+ Michael Harris II Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Drake Baldwin Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Freddie Freeman Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Andy Pages RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Shohei Ohtani 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mookie Betts Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Andy Pages Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Matt Olson 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Kyle Tucker Walks 1+· walks 1+ Drake Baldwin 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Shohei Ohtani RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Matt Olson RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Kyle Tucker 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mookie Betts 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mookie Betts RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Andy Pages 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Michael Harris II RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Ozzie Albies 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Ozzie Albies Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Michael Harris II 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Freddie Freeman 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Ozzie Albies RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Drake Baldwin RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Freddie Freeman Walks 1+· walks 1+ Austin Riley Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Kyle Tucker Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Freddie Freeman RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Kyle Tucker RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Austin Riley RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Matt Olson Walks 1+· walks 1+ Drake Baldwin Walks 1+· walks 1+ Mauricio Dubón Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Mauricio Dubón RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Mauricio Dubón 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Austin Riley 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mookie Betts Walks 1+· walks 1+ Andy Pages Walks 1+· walks 1+ Michael Harris II Hits 2+· hits 2+ Austin Riley Walks 1+· walks 1+ Andy Pages Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mauricio Dubón Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mookie Betts Hits 2+· hits 2+ Ozzie Albies Walks 1+· walks 1+ Matt Olson Hits 2+· hits 2+ Drake Baldwin Hits 2+· hits 2+ Freddie Freeman Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mauricio Dubón Walks 1+· walks 1+ Shohei Ohtani Hits 2+· hits 2+ Kyle Tucker Hits 2+· hits 2+ Matt Olson HR· HR 1+ Ozzie Albies Hits 2+· hits 2+ Shohei Ohtani HR· HR 1+ Austin Riley Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mookie Betts HR· HR 1+ Andy Pages HR· HR 1+ Michael Harris II HR· HR 1+ Ozzie Albies HR· HR 1+ Drake Baldwin HR· HR 1+ Michael Harris II Walks 1+· walks 1+ Kyle Tucker HR· HR 1+ Austin Riley HR· HR 1+ Freddie Freeman HR· HR 1+ Mauricio Dubón HR· HR 1+ strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
