Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians — Game center Final MLB
Sep 16 (Wed) · 5:10 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Chicago White Sox 44%
Cleveland Guardians 56%
Locked before start
Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ 56% Miss Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ 61% Miss Chase Meidroth Hits 1+· hits 1+ 59% Hit Showing 3 of 94 locked markets
Behind the probability season win% 0.510 (home 78-75) vs away 77-75 0.507, Home advantage +4%· injury home 3 / away 9, matchup combination model
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Matchup Box score
Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians
Pitching matchup
AK Anthony Kay Appearance confirmed
PM Parker Messick Appearance confirmed
Recent form · newest first
Cloudy 79°F· wind 7 mph, In From LF· park factor runs 98· HR 98
Data source: MLB Stats API
Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Steven Kwan Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase Meidroth Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 Cleveland Guardians home +1.5· Run Line High
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.2 vs 3.8 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
69% Chicago White Sox away +1.5· Run Line High
probability home does not win by 2+ — expected runs 3.8 vs 4.2 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
62% Cleveland Guardians home -1.5· Run Line Chicago White Sox away -1.5· Run Line games6 Cleveland Guardians team runs Over 3.5· Runs Cleveland Guardians Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Medium
season win% 0.510 (home 78-75) vs away 77-75 0.507, Home advantage +4%· injury home 3 / away 9, matchup combination model
runs 6/4 Hit
56% Both teams total runs Under 7.5· Totals Chicago White Sox team runs Over 4.5· Runs Chicago White Sox Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Medium
season win% 0.507 (away 77-75) vs home 78-75 0.510, matchup combination after the away discount
runs 3/7 Miss
44% Both teams total runs Over 7.5· Totals batter84 Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Steven Kwan Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase Meidroth Hits 1+· hits 1+ Miguel Vargas Hits 1+· hits 1+ Travis Bazzana Hits 1+· hits 1+ Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Sam Antonacci Hits 1+· hits 1+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 1+· hits 1+ Tristan Peters Hits 1+· hits 1+ José Ramírez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Colson Montgomery Hits 1+· hits 1+ Miguel Vargas Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 1+· hits 1+ Munetaka Murakami Walks 1+· walks 1+ Colson Montgomery RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Colson Montgomery Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Miguel Vargas 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Miguel Vargas Walks 1+· walks 1+ Munetaka Murakami 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Angel Martínez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase DeLauter Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase DeLauter RBI 1+· RBI 1+ José Ramírez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Steven Kwan 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Miguel Vargas RBI 1+· RBI 1+ José Ramírez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Munetaka Murakami RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase Meidroth 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Sam Antonacci 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Steven Kwan Walks 1+· walks 1+ Munetaka Murakami Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase DeLauter 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase Meidroth Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Travis Bazzana RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Travis Bazzana 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Brayan Rocchio RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Colson Montgomery 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase Meidroth RBI 1+· RBI 1+ José Ramírez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Travis Bazzana Walks 1+· walks 1+ Angel Martínez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase DeLauter Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase Meidroth Walks 1+· walks 1+ Travis Bazzana Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ José Ramírez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Angel Martínez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Brayan Rocchio Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Brayan Rocchio 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Steven Kwan Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Colson Montgomery Walks 1+· walks 1+ Tristan Peters 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Sam Antonacci Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Sam Antonacci Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 2+· hits 2+ Steven Kwan Hits 2+· hits 2+ Chase Meidroth Hits 2+· hits 2+ Miguel Vargas Hits 2+· hits 2+ Tristan Peters RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Tristan Peters Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Tristan Peters Walks 1+· walks 1+ Sam Antonacci RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Brayan Rocchio Walks 1+· walks 1+ Travis Bazzana Hits 2+· hits 2+ Angel Martínez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Sam Antonacci Hits 2+· hits 2+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 2+· hits 2+ Colson Montgomery HR· HR 1+ Tristan Peters Hits 2+· hits 2+ José Ramírez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Munetaka Murakami HR· HR 1+ Miguel Vargas HR· HR 1+ Colson Montgomery Hits 2+· hits 2+ Angel Martínez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Steven Kwan RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 2+· hits 2+ Angel Martínez HR· HR 1+ Chase Meidroth HR· HR 1+ Chase DeLauter HR· HR 1+ Travis Bazzana HR· HR 1+ Brayan Rocchio HR· HR 1+ José Ramírez HR· HR 1+ Tristan Peters HR· HR 1+ Sam Antonacci HR· HR 1+ Steven Kwan HR· HR 1+ strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
