Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians — Game center Final MLB
Oct 5 (Mon) · 9:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Chicago White Sox 95%
Cleveland Guardians 5%
Locked before start
Chicago White Sox away +1.5· Run Line 97% Chicago White Sox Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win 95% Hit Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ 65% Miss Showing 3 of 94 locked markets
Behind the probability season win% 1.000 (away 2-0) vs home 0-2 0.500, matchup combination after the away discount
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Matchup Box score
Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians
Pitching matchup
AK Anthony Kay Appearance confirmed
GW Gavin Williams Appearance confirmed
Recent form · newest first
Clear 61°F· wind 13 mph, In From CF· park factor runs 98· HR 98
Data source: MLB Stats API
Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 Chicago White Sox away +1.5· Run Line High
probability home does not win by 2+ — expected runs 3.6 vs 3.9 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
97% Chicago White Sox away -1.5· Run Line High
expected runs 3.9 vs 3.6 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
67% Cleveland Guardians home +1.5· Run Line Cleveland Guardians home -1.5· Run Line games6 Chicago White Sox Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Low
season win% 1.000 (away 2-0) vs home 0-2 0.500, matchup combination after the away discount
runs 4/4 Hit
95% Both teams total runs Under 7.5· Totals Cleveland Guardians team runs Over 3.5· Runs Both teams total runs Over 7.5· Totals Chicago White Sox team runs Over 3.5· Runs Cleveland Guardians Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Low
season win% 0.500 (home 0-2) vs away 2-0 1.000, Home advantage +4%· injury home 3 / away 8, matchup combination model
runs 3/5 Miss
5% batter84 Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 1+· hits 1+ José Ramírez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Steven Kwan Hits 1+· hits 1+ Miguel Vargas Hits 1+· hits 1+ Sam Antonacci Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase Meidroth Hits 1+· hits 1+ Travis Bazzana Hits 1+· hits 1+ Tristan Peters Hits 1+· hits 1+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 1+· hits 1+ Colson Montgomery Hits 1+· hits 1+ Steven Kwan Walks 1+· walks 1+ Miguel Vargas Walks 1+· walks 1+ Munetaka Murakami Walks 1+· walks 1+ Angel Martínez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Angel Martínez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ José Ramírez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase DeLauter Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase DeLauter Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Travis Bazzana Walks 1+· walks 1+ Munetaka Murakami RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Miguel Vargas 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase DeLauter 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ José Ramírez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Miguel Vargas Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Munetaka Murakami 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ José Ramírez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase DeLauter RBI 1+· RBI 1+ José Ramírez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Brayan Rocchio Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Angel Martínez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Steven Kwan 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Travis Bazzana RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Miguel Vargas RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Travis Bazzana 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Brayan Rocchio 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Munetaka Murakami Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Colson Montgomery RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase Meidroth Walks 1+· walks 1+ Brayan Rocchio RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Sam Antonacci Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Colson Montgomery 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Sam Antonacci 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Steven Kwan Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Tristan Peters RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Colson Montgomery Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase Meidroth 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase Meidroth Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Angel Martínez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Sam Antonacci Walks 1+· walks 1+ Colson Montgomery Walks 1+· walks 1+ Tristan Peters Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Travis Bazzana Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Tristan Peters 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase Meidroth RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 2+· hits 2+ Sam Antonacci RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Brayan Rocchio Walks 1+· walks 1+ Steven Kwan RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Tristan Peters Walks 1+· walks 1+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 2+· hits 2+ Munetaka Murakami HR· HR 1+ José Ramírez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Steven Kwan Hits 2+· hits 2+ Miguel Vargas Hits 2+· hits 2+ Sam Antonacci Hits 2+· hits 2+ Miguel Vargas HR· HR 1+ Colson Montgomery HR· HR 1+ Travis Bazzana Hits 2+· hits 2+ Chase Meidroth Hits 2+· hits 2+ Angel Martínez HR· HR 1+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 2+· hits 2+ Tristan Peters Hits 2+· hits 2+ Colson Montgomery Hits 2+· hits 2+ Chase DeLauter HR· HR 1+ Chase Meidroth HR· HR 1+ Tristan Peters HR· HR 1+ José Ramírez HR· HR 1+ Travis Bazzana HR· HR 1+ Brayan Rocchio HR· HR 1+ Angel Martínez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Sam Antonacci HR· HR 1+ Steven Kwan HR· HR 1+ strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
