Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals — Game center Final MLB
Sep 13 (Sun) · 6:15 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Chicago White Sox 48%
St. Louis Cardinals 52%
Locked before start
Miguel Vargas Hits 1+· hits 1+ 54% Hit Sam Antonacci Hits 1+· hits 1+ 59% Hit Alec Burleson Hits 1+· hits 1+ 59% Hit Showing 3 of 87 locked markets
Behind the probability season win% 0.493 (home 74-76) vs away 76-73 0.510, Home advantage +4%· injury home 6 / away 9, matchup combination model
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Matchup Box score
Chicago White Sox St. Louis Cardinals
Pitching matchup
DS David Sandlin Appearance confirmed
MM Michael McGreevy Appearance confirmed
Recent form · newest first
Partly Cloudy 85°F· wind 6 mph, Out To RF· park factor runs 97· HR 92
Data source: MLB Stats API
Tristan Peters Hits 1+· hits 1+ Sam Antonacci Hits 1+· hits 1+ Alec Burleson Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 St. Louis Cardinals home +1.5· Run Line High
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.3 vs 3.9 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
67% Chicago White Sox away +1.5· Run Line High
probability home does not win by 2+ — expected runs 3.9 vs 4.3 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
64% St. Louis Cardinals home -1.5· Run Line Chicago White Sox away -1.5· Run Line batter77 Tristan Peters Hits 1+· hits 1+ Sam Antonacci Hits 1+· hits 1+ Alec Burleson Hits 1+· hits 1+ Jordan Walker Hits 1+· hits 1+ Iván Herrera Hits 1+· hits 1+ JJ Wetherholt Hits 1+· hits 1+ Nathan Church Hits 1+· hits 1+ Miguel Vargas Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase Meidroth Hits 1+· hits 1+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 1+· hits 1+ Colson Montgomery Hits 1+· hits 1+ Alec Burleson Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Jordan Walker Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Miguel Vargas Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Alec Burleson RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Jordan Walker RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Munetaka Murakami Walks 1+· walks 1+ Miguel Vargas 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Munetaka Murakami 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Munetaka Murakami Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ JJ Wetherholt Walks 1+· walks 1+ Miguel Vargas Walks 1+· walks 1+ Jordan Walker 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Munetaka Murakami RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Miguel Vargas RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Colson Montgomery RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Alec Burleson 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase Meidroth 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Sam Antonacci 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ JJ Wetherholt RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Iván Herrera 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Colson Montgomery 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ JJ Wetherholt 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Iván Herrera RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Colson Montgomery Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Iván Herrera Walks 1+· walks 1+ Iván Herrera Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Sam Antonacci Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase Meidroth Walks 1+· walks 1+ JJ Wetherholt Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Tristan Peters 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Alec Burleson Walks 1+· walks 1+ Colson Montgomery Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase Meidroth Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Tristan Peters Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Sam Antonacci Walks 1+· walks 1+ Nathan Church Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Jordan Walker Walks 1+· walks 1+ Tristan Peters Hits 2+· hits 2+ Tristan Peters RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Nathan Church RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Nathan Church 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Alec Burleson Hits 2+· hits 2+ Chase Meidroth RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Sam Antonacci Hits 2+· hits 2+ Sam Antonacci RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Jordan Walker Hits 2+· hits 2+ Tristan Peters Walks 1+· walks 1+ Nathan Church Hits 2+· hits 2+ Iván Herrera Hits 2+· hits 2+ Miguel Vargas Hits 2+· hits 2+ Chase Meidroth Hits 2+· hits 2+ Munetaka Murakami HR· HR 1+ Nathan Church Walks 1+· walks 1+ JJ Wetherholt Hits 2+· hits 2+ Colson Montgomery HR· HR 1+ Miguel Vargas HR· HR 1+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 2+· hits 2+ Jordan Walker HR· HR 1+ JJ Wetherholt HR· HR 1+ Colson Montgomery Hits 2+· hits 2+ Alec Burleson HR· HR 1+ Iván Herrera HR· HR 1+ Chase Meidroth HR· HR 1+ Nathan Church HR· HR 1+ Tristan Peters HR· HR 1+ Sam Antonacci HR· HR 1+ games6 St. Louis Cardinals team runs Over 3.5· Runs Both teams total runs Under 8.5· Totals St. Louis Cardinals Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Low
season win% 0.493 (home 74-76) vs away 76-73 0.510, Home advantage +4%· injury home 6 / away 9, matchup combination model
runs 3/2 Hit
52% Chicago White Sox Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Low
season win% 0.510 (away 76-73) vs home 74-76 0.493, matchup combination after the away discount
runs 1/4 Miss
48% Chicago White Sox team runs Over 4.5· Runs Both teams total runs Over 8.5· Totals strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
Free forever. By subscribing you consent to receive the daily probability email; unsubscribe any time from the link in every email.Privacy notice
Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
