Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox — Game center Final MLB
Oct 7 (Wed) · 8:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Cleveland Guardians 5%
Chicago White Sox 95%
Locked before start
Chicago White Sox home +1.5· Run Line 97% Chicago White Sox Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win 95% Miss Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ 63% Miss Showing 3 of 94 locked markets
Behind the probability season win% 0.667 (home 2-1) vs away 1-2 0.333, Home advantage +4%· injury home 8 / away 3, matchup combination model
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Matchup Box score
Cleveland Guardians Chicago White Sox
Pitching matchup
DE Daniel Espino Appearance confirmed
SN Sean Newcomb Appearance confirmed
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Sunny 75°F· wind 6 mph, L To R· park factor runs 101· HR 106
Data source: MLB Stats API
Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Miguel Vargas Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 Chicago White Sox home +1.5· Run Line High
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 3.8 vs 4.2 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
97% Chicago White Sox home -1.5· Run Line Medium
expected runs 4.2 vs 3.8 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
68% Cleveland Guardians away +1.5· Run Line Cleveland Guardians away -1.5· Run Line games6 Chicago White Sox Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Low
season win% 0.667 (home 2-1) vs away 1-2 0.333, Home advantage +4%· injury home 8 / away 3, matchup combination model
runs 3/10 Miss
95% Both teams total runs Under 8.5· Totals Chicago White Sox team runs Over 4.5· Runs Cleveland Guardians team runs Over 3.5· Runs Both teams total runs Over 8.5· Totals Cleveland Guardians Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Low
season win% 0.333 (away 1-2) vs home 2-1 0.667, matchup combination after the away discount
runs 9/4 Hit
5% batter84 Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Miguel Vargas Hits 1+· hits 1+ Sam Antonacci Hits 1+· hits 1+ José Ramírez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 1+· hits 1+ Chase Meidroth Hits 1+· hits 1+ Steven Kwan Hits 1+· hits 1+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 1+· hits 1+ Tristan Peters Hits 1+· hits 1+ Travis Bazzana Hits 1+· hits 1+ Colson Montgomery Hits 1+· hits 1+ Munetaka Murakami Walks 1+· walks 1+ Miguel Vargas Walks 1+· walks 1+ Steven Kwan Walks 1+· walks 1+ Angel Martínez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ José Ramírez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase DeLauter Walks 1+· walks 1+ Munetaka Murakami RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Miguel Vargas 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Travis Bazzana Walks 1+· walks 1+ Angel Martínez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Miguel Vargas Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Munetaka Murakami 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Miguel Vargas RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase Meidroth Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase DeLauter Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Munetaka Murakami Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Colson Montgomery Walks 1+· walks 1+ Colson Montgomery RBI 1+· RBI 1+ José Ramírez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Sam Antonacci Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase DeLauter 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Sam Antonacci Walks 1+· walks 1+ Colson Montgomery 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Sam Antonacci 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ José Ramírez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Angel Martínez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Tristan Peters RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase Meidroth Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ José Ramírez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase Meidroth 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase DeLauter RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Steven Kwan 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Colson Montgomery Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Travis Bazzana RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Brayan Rocchio Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Tristan Peters Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Brayan Rocchio 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Tristan Peters Walks 1+· walks 1+ Travis Bazzana 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase Meidroth RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Brayan Rocchio RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Angel Martínez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Tristan Peters 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Steven Kwan Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Travis Bazzana Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Brayan Rocchio Walks 1+· walks 1+ Sam Antonacci RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 2+· hits 2+ Miguel Vargas Hits 2+· hits 2+ José Ramírez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Sam Antonacci Hits 2+· hits 2+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 2+· hits 2+ Munetaka Murakami HR· HR 1+ Miguel Vargas HR· HR 1+ Chase Meidroth Hits 2+· hits 2+ Steven Kwan Hits 2+· hits 2+ Steven Kwan RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Tristan Peters Hits 2+· hits 2+ Munetaka Murakami Hits 2+· hits 2+ Colson Montgomery HR· HR 1+ Colson Montgomery Hits 2+· hits 2+ Travis Bazzana Hits 2+· hits 2+ Angel Martínez HR· HR 1+ Angel Martínez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Chase Meidroth HR· HR 1+ Tristan Peters HR· HR 1+ Chase DeLauter HR· HR 1+ Travis Bazzana HR· HR 1+ José Ramírez HR· HR 1+ Brayan Rocchio HR· HR 1+ Sam Antonacci HR· HR 1+ Steven Kwan HR· HR 1+ strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
