Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins — Game center Final MLB
Sep 13 (Sun) · 6:10 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Cleveland Guardians 52%
Minnesota Twins 48%
Locked before start
Steven Kwan Hits 1+· hits 1+ 59% Hit Brayan Rocchio Hits 1+· hits 1+ 55% Hit Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ 57% Hit Showing 3 of 87 locked markets
Behind the probability season win% 0.507 (away 76-74) vs home 70-79 0.470, matchup combination after the away discount
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Matchup Box score
Cleveland Guardians Minnesota Twins
Pitching matchup
TB Tanner Bibee Appearance confirmed
JR Joe Ryan Appearance confirmed
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Partly Cloudy 69°F· wind 7 mph, Out To RF· park factor runs 100· HR 99
Data source: MLB Stats API
Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Steven Kwan Hits 1+· hits 1+ Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 Cleveland Guardians away +1.5· Run Line High
probability home does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.0 vs 3.9 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
67% Minnesota Twins home +1.5· Run Line High
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 3.9 vs 4.0 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
65% Cleveland Guardians away -1.5· Run Line Minnesota Twins home -1.5· Run Line games6 Minnesota Twins team runs Over 3.5· Runs Cleveland Guardians Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Low
season win% 0.507 (away 76-74) vs home 70-79 0.470, matchup combination after the away discount
runs 9/3 Hit
52% Cleveland Guardians team runs Over 3.5· Runs Both teams total runs Over 7.5· Totals Both teams total runs Under 7.5· Totals Minnesota Twins Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Low
season win% 0.470 (home 70-79) vs away 76-74 0.507, Home advantage +4%· injury home 10 / away 3, matchup combination model
runs 2/10 Miss
48% batter77 Chase DeLauter Hits 1+· hits 1+ Steven Kwan Hits 1+· hits 1+ Angel Martínez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Luke Keaschall Hits 1+· hits 1+ Travis Bazzana Hits 1+· hits 1+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 1+· hits 1+ Brooks Lee Hits 1+· hits 1+ Kody Clemens Hits 1+· hits 1+ Josh Bell Hits 1+· hits 1+ José Ramírez Hits 1+· hits 1+ Royce Lewis Hits 1+· hits 1+ Kody Clemens Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Angel Martínez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Steven Kwan 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase DeLauter RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase DeLauter Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ José Ramírez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Kody Clemens RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Josh Bell Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Brooks Lee RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Kody Clemens 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Josh Bell 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Josh Bell RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Luke Keaschall 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Steven Kwan Walks 1+· walks 1+ José Ramírez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Travis Bazzana RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Brayan Rocchio RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Travis Bazzana 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Chase DeLauter 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Angel Martínez 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Brooks Lee 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ José Ramírez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Royce Lewis RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Royce Lewis 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Royce Lewis Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Brooks Lee Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Travis Bazzana Walks 1+· walks 1+ Angel Martínez Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Chase DeLauter Walks 1+· walks 1+ Brayan Rocchio 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Travis Bazzana Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ José Ramírez RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Chase DeLauter Hits 2+· hits 2+ Luke Keaschall Walks 1+· walks 1+ Brayan Rocchio Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Steven Kwan Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Luke Keaschall Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Josh Bell Walks 1+· walks 1+ Royce Lewis Walks 1+· walks 1+ Kody Clemens Walks 1+· walks 1+ Steven Kwan Hits 2+· hits 2+ Luke Keaschall RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Brayan Rocchio Walks 1+· walks 1+ Brooks Lee Walks 1+· walks 1+ Luke Keaschall Hits 2+· hits 2+ Brayan Rocchio Hits 2+· hits 2+ Angel Martínez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Brooks Lee Hits 2+· hits 2+ Travis Bazzana Hits 2+· hits 2+ Josh Bell Hits 2+· hits 2+ Kody Clemens Hits 2+· hits 2+ José Ramírez Hits 2+· hits 2+ Royce Lewis Hits 2+· hits 2+ Angel Martínez Walks 1+· walks 1+ Kody Clemens HR· HR 1+ Brooks Lee HR· HR 1+ Steven Kwan RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Angel Martínez HR· HR 1+ Josh Bell HR· HR 1+ Chase DeLauter HR· HR 1+ Royce Lewis HR· HR 1+ Travis Bazzana HR· HR 1+ Brayan Rocchio HR· HR 1+ José Ramírez HR· HR 1+ Luke Keaschall HR· HR 1+ Steven Kwan HR· HR 1+ strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
