Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves — Game center Final MLB
Oct 6 (Tue) · 10:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Los Angeles Dodgers 46%
Atlanta Braves 54%
Locked before start
Los Angeles Dodgers away +1.5· Run Line 64% Andy Pages Hits 1+· hits 1+ 58% Hit Los Angeles Dodgers Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win 46% Hit Showing 3 of 84 locked markets
Behind the probability season win% 0.333 (home 1-2) vs away 2-1 0.667, Home advantage +4%, matchup combination model
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Matchup Box score
Los Angeles Dodgers Atlanta Braves
Pitching matchup
YY Yoshinobu Yamamoto Appearance confirmed
CS Chris Sale Appearance confirmed
Recent form · newest first
Clear 75°F· wind 6 mph, L To R· park factor runs 101· HR 102
Data source: MLB Stats API
Andy Pages Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mookie Betts Hits 1+· hits 1+ Michael Harris II Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 Atlanta Braves home +1.5· Run Line Medium
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.7 vs 4.4 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
68% Los Angeles Dodgers away +1.5· Run Line High
probability home does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.4 vs 4.7 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
64% Atlanta Braves home -1.5· Run Line Los Angeles Dodgers away -1.5· Run Line batter84 Andy Pages Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mookie Betts Hits 1+· hits 1+ Michael Harris II Hits 1+· hits 1+ Max Muncy Hits 1+· hits 1+ Matt Olson Hits 1+· hits 1+ Kyle Tucker Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mauricio Dubón Hits 1+· hits 1+ Shohei Ohtani Hits 1+· hits 1+ Drake Baldwin Hits 1+· hits 1+ Freddie Freeman Hits 1+· hits 1+ Ozzie Albies Hits 1+· hits 1+ Austin Riley Hits 1+· hits 1+ Matt Olson Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Kyle Tucker Walks 1+· walks 1+ Shohei Ohtani Walks 1+· walks 1+ Matt Olson RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Andy Pages Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Michael Harris II Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Mookie Betts Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Shohei Ohtani Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Matt Olson 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Max Muncy Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Mookie Betts RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Max Muncy RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Andy Pages RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Shohei Ohtani 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Kyle Tucker 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Shohei Ohtani RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Kyle Tucker Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Drake Baldwin Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Andy Pages 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Michael Harris II RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Mookie Betts 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Matt Olson Walks 1+· walks 1+ Max Muncy 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Drake Baldwin RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Drake Baldwin 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mauricio Dubón Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Drake Baldwin Walks 1+· walks 1+ Freddie Freeman Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Michael Harris II 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Freddie Freeman 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Max Muncy Walks 1+· walks 1+ Ozzie Albies 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mauricio Dubón 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Austin Riley 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Ozzie Albies RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Mauricio Dubón RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Kyle Tucker RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Austin Riley RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Freddie Freeman RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Freddie Freeman Walks 1+· walks 1+ Ozzie Albies Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Austin Riley Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Austin Riley Walks 1+· walks 1+ Mookie Betts Walks 1+· walks 1+ Ozzie Albies Walks 1+· walks 1+ Andy Pages Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mookie Betts Hits 2+· hits 2+ Andy Pages Walks 1+· walks 1+ Michael Harris II Hits 2+· hits 2+ Matt Olson HR· HR 1+ Kyle Tucker Hits 2+· hits 2+ Max Muncy Hits 2+· hits 2+ Shohei Ohtani Hits 2+· hits 2+ Matt Olson Hits 2+· hits 2+ Freddie Freeman Hits 2+· hits 2+ Drake Baldwin Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mauricio Dubón Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mauricio Dubón Walks 1+· walks 1+ Drake Baldwin HR· HR 1+ Michael Harris II HR· HR 1+ Ozzie Albies Hits 2+· hits 2+ Max Muncy HR· HR 1+ Shohei Ohtani HR· HR 1+ Austin Riley Hits 2+· hits 2+ Ozzie Albies HR· HR 1+ Mookie Betts HR· HR 1+ Austin Riley HR· HR 1+ Andy Pages HR· HR 1+ Michael Harris II Walks 1+· walks 1+ Mauricio Dubón HR· HR 1+ Kyle Tucker HR· HR 1+ Freddie Freeman HR· HR 1+ games6 Both teams total runs Under 9.5· Totals Atlanta Braves Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Low
season win% 0.333 (home 1-2) vs away 2-1 0.667, Home advantage +4%, matchup combination model
runs 1/4 Miss
54% Los Angeles Dodgers Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Low
season win% 0.667 (away 2-1) vs home 1-2 0.333, matchup combination after the away discount
runs 3/2 Hit
46% Both teams total runs Over 9.5· Totals Atlanta Braves team runs Over 4.5· Runs Los Angeles Dodgers team runs Over 4.5· Runs strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
