Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves — Game center Scheduled MLB
VS
Oct 6 (Tue) · 10:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Los Angeles Dodgers 46%
Atlanta Braves 54%
Behind the probability season win% 0.500 (home 1-1) vs away 1-1 0.500, Home advantage +4%· injury home 9 / away 7, matchup combination model
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Pregame home win ESPN 54% · Spolytics 54% +0.4%p External figure: ESPN Matchup Predictor. Retrieved 2026-10-06T08:35:07.410Z; forecast publication time unavailable. Shown for reference; not an input to our model.
Head to head Los Angeles Dodgers Atlanta Braves
Pitching matchup
YY Yoshinobu Yamamoto Probable · subject to change
CS Chris Sale Probable · subject to change
Recent form · newest first
park factor runs 101· HR 102
Data source: MLB Stats API
Andy Pages Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mookie Betts Hits 1+· hits 1+ Michael Harris II Hits 1+· hits 1+ Explore the models All Players Game
Run line4 Atlanta Braves home +1.5· Run Line High
probability away does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.2 vs 4.0 — the Skellam conditional share of away wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
68% Los Angeles Dodgers away +1.5· Run Line High
probability home does not win by 2+ — expected runs 4.0 vs 4.2 — the Skellam conditional share of home wins by 2+ runs, multiplied by the side win probability
64% Atlanta Braves home -1.5· Run Line Los Angeles Dodgers away -1.5· Run Line batter77 Andy Pages Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mookie Betts Hits 1+· hits 1+ Michael Harris II Hits 1+· hits 1+ Matt Olson Hits 1+· hits 1+ Kyle Tucker Hits 1+· hits 1+ Mauricio Dubón Hits 1+· hits 1+ Shohei Ohtani Hits 1+· hits 1+ Drake Baldwin Hits 1+· hits 1+ Freddie Freeman Hits 1+· hits 1+ Ozzie Albies Hits 1+· hits 1+ Austin Riley Hits 1+· hits 1+ Matt Olson Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Shohei Ohtani Walks 1+· walks 1+ Kyle Tucker Walks 1+· walks 1+ Matt Olson RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Michael Harris II Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Andy Pages Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Mookie Betts Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Shohei Ohtani Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Matt Olson 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mookie Betts RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Shohei Ohtani RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Kyle Tucker Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Andy Pages RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Shohei Ohtani 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Kyle Tucker 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Drake Baldwin Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Andy Pages 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mookie Betts 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Michael Harris II RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Matt Olson Walks 1+· walks 1+ Freddie Freeman Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Mauricio Dubón Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Drake Baldwin RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Drake Baldwin 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Drake Baldwin Walks 1+· walks 1+ Michael Harris II 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Freddie Freeman 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Ozzie Albies 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mauricio Dubón 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Ozzie Albies RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Austin Riley 1+ Run Probability· runs 1+ Mauricio Dubón RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Kyle Tucker RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Austin Riley RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Freddie Freeman RBI 1+· RBI 1+ Freddie Freeman Walks 1+· walks 1+ Ozzie Albies Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Mookie Betts Walks 1+· walks 1+ Austin Riley Walks 1+· walks 1+ Ozzie Albies Walks 1+· walks 1+ Austin Riley Total Bases 2+· total bases 2+ Andy Pages Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mookie Betts Hits 2+· hits 2+ Andy Pages Walks 1+· walks 1+ Michael Harris II Hits 2+· hits 2+ Matt Olson HR· HR 1+ Kyle Tucker Hits 2+· hits 2+ Shohei Ohtani Hits 2+· hits 2+ Matt Olson Hits 2+· hits 2+ Freddie Freeman Hits 2+· hits 2+ Drake Baldwin Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mauricio Dubón Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mauricio Dubón Walks 1+· walks 1+ Drake Baldwin HR· HR 1+ Michael Harris II HR· HR 1+ Ozzie Albies Hits 2+· hits 2+ Shohei Ohtani HR· HR 1+ Austin Riley Hits 2+· hits 2+ Mookie Betts HR· HR 1+ Ozzie Albies HR· HR 1+ Andy Pages HR· HR 1+ Austin Riley HR· HR 1+ Michael Harris II Walks 1+· walks 1+ Kyle Tucker HR· HR 1+ Mauricio Dubón HR· HR 1+ Freddie Freeman HR· HR 1+ games6 Both teams total runs Under 8.5· Totals Atlanta Braves Home Team · Win Probability· Home Win Low
season win% 0.500 (home 1-1) vs away 1-1 0.500, Home advantage +4%· injury home 9 / away 7, matchup combination model
54% Atlanta Braves team runs Over 3.5· Runs Los Angeles Dodgers Away Team · Win Probability· Away Win Low
season win% 0.500 (away 1-1) vs home 1-1 0.500, matchup combination after the away discount
46% Both teams total runs Over 8.5· Totals Los Angeles Dodgers team runs Over 4.5· Runs strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
