MissedNo pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability
expected runs 2.69 vs 2.05 (home Points per game 1.49 / runs allowed 2.00) — sum of home-win cells in the scoring distribution score grid· 1X2 normalized to 100%
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Estimated range: CF Montréal 38.8–65.2%, Draw 8.6–29.4%, FC Cincinnati 17–41%
CF Montréal leads mainly on recent attacking output (0.64 more expected goals including home advantage). The draw sits at 19%, below the football average, because the total-goals estimate is high.
Goal distribution
Computed from the model's scoreline matrix. These describe the goal distribution, not markets.
Home goals (rows) by away goals (columns) probability
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
1
2
2
1
1
2
5
5
3
2
2
3
7
7
4
2
3
3
6
6
4
2
4
2
4
4
3
1
5
2
2
2
Rows = home goals, columns = away goals. Cells below 1% are left blank.
Over 2.5 goals
84%
Under 2.5 goals
16%
Both teams score
82%
CF Montréal clean sheet
13%
FC Cincinnati clean sheet
7%
Head-to-head
Recent form (last 10)
Actual goals scored and conceded in completed matches.
