Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 9 (Fri) · 12:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Atlanta Hawks 9%
San Antonio Spurs 91%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 1)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Atlanta Hawks San Antonio Spurs
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 San Antonio Spurs Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-0 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 1)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
91% Both total runs 228.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 228.5 Under· Totals Under Atlanta Hawks Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-1 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
9% Spread6 San Antonio Spurs wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% San Antonio Spurs wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% San Antonio Spurs wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Atlanta Hawks within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 Atlanta Hawks within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Atlanta Hawks within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Team stats6 Atlanta Hawks team runs 113.5 Over· Team Points Atlanta Hawks team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB San Antonio Spurs team runs 115.5 Over· Team Points San Antonio Spurs team rebounds 47.5 Over· Team REB San Antonio Spurs team assists 28.5 Over· Team AST Atlanta Hawks team assists 30.5 Over· Team AST strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
