Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 8 (Thu) · 11:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Boston Celtics 47%
Cleveland Cavaliers 53%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Boston Celtics within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
75% Boston Celtics within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
63% Boston Celtics within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 games4 Cleveland Cavaliers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
53% Both total runs 234.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 234.5 Over· Totals Over Boston Celtics Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
47% Team stats6 Boston Celtics team runs 114.5 Over· Team Points Boston Celtics team assists 24.5 Over· Team AST Cleveland Cavaliers team runs 119.5 Over· Team Points Cleveland Cavaliers team rebounds 44.5 Over· Team REB Boston Celtics team rebounds 46.5 Over· Team REB Cleveland Cavaliers team assists 28.5 Over· Team AST strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
