Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 7 (Wed) · 1:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Denver Nuggets 3%
Utah Jazz 97%
Behind the probability season record 1-0 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Denver Nuggets Utah Jazz
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Utah Jazz Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 1-0 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 239.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 239.5 Under· Totals Under Denver Nuggets Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-1 vs 1-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Spread6 Utah Jazz wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% Utah Jazz wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Utah Jazz wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Denver Nuggets within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 Denver Nuggets within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Denver Nuggets within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Team stats6 Utah Jazz team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB Utah Jazz team runs 117.5 Over· Team Points Utah Jazz team assists 29.5 Over· Team AST Denver Nuggets team runs 122.5 Over· Team Points Denver Nuggets team rebounds 44.5 Over· Team REB Denver Nuggets team assists 29.5 Over· Team AST strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
