Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 8 (Thu) · 2:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Golden State Warriors 44%
Portland Trail Blazers 56%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 2)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Golden State Warriors within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
73% Golden State Warriors within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
62% Golden State Warriors within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Portland Trail Blazers wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Portland Trail Blazers wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 games4 Portland Trail Blazers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 2)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
56% Both total runs 218.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 218.5 Under· Totals Under Golden State Warriors Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-1 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
44% Team stats6 Golden State Warriors team assists 28.5 Over· Team AST Portland Trail Blazers team runs 110.5 Over· Team Points Golden State Warriors team runs 108.5 Over· Team Points Golden State Warriors team rebounds 42.5 Over· Team REB Portland Trail Blazers team rebounds 46.5 Over· Team REB Portland Trail Blazers team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
