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Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers — Game center

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Golden State Warriors team logo

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Golden State Warriors
118123
Portland Trail Blazers team logo

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Portland Trail Blazers
Moda CenterOct 8 (Thu) · 2:00 AM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast
Golden State Warriors44%
Portland Trail Blazers56%

Locked before start

  • Portland Trail BlazersHome Win· Home Team · Win Probability56%Hit
  • Portland Trail Blazerswins by 4+· Spread -3.544%
  • Portland Trail Blazerswins by 6+· Spread -5.538%

Showing 3 of 16 locked markets

Behind the probability

season record 1-0 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 2)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability
Win% gap
1.000 vs 0.333
+40.0%p
Home edge
+3.5%
+3.5%p
absences
home 1 / away 2
+1.5%p

Head to head

Golden State WarriorsPortland Trail Blazers

Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.

Data source: ESPN API

Explore the models

Spread6
games4
Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.