Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 9 (Fri) · 12:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Houston Rockets 47%
Dallas Mavericks 53%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Houston Rockets Dallas Mavericks
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Houston Rockets within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
75% Houston Rockets within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
63% Houston Rockets within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Dallas Mavericks wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Dallas Mavericks wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Dallas Mavericks wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 games4 Dallas Mavericks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
53% Both total runs 229.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 229.5 Over· Totals Over Houston Rockets Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 798 past events)
47% Team stats6 Dallas Mavericks team rebounds 44.5 Over· Team REB Dallas Mavericks team runs 114.5 Over· Team Points Houston Rockets team runs 115.5 Over· Team Points Houston Rockets team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST Dallas Mavericks team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST Houston Rockets team rebounds 48.5 Over· Team REB strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
