Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 7 (Wed) · 2:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Los Angeles Lakers 97%
Golden State Warriors 3%
Behind the probability season record 1-0 vs 0-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Los Angeles Lakers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 1-0 vs 0-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 224.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 224.5 Over· Totals Over Golden State Warriors Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-1 vs 1-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 2 / away 0)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Spread6 Los Angeles Lakers wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% Los Angeles Lakers wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Golden State Warriors within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 Golden State Warriors within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Golden State Warriors within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Team stats6 Golden State Warriors team assists 28.5 Over· Team AST Los Angeles Lakers team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST Los Angeles Lakers team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points Golden State Warriors team runs 108.5 Over· Team Points Golden State Warriors team rebounds 42.5 Over· Team REB Los Angeles Lakers team rebounds 41.5 Over· Team REB strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
