Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 6 (Tue) · 2:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Los Angeles Lakers 45%
Sacramento Kings 55%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Los Angeles Lakers within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
75% Los Angeles Lakers within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
63% Los Angeles Lakers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 ProSacramento Kings wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 ProSacramento Kings wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 ProSacramento Kings wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Progames4 Sacramento Kings Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
55% Both total runs 227.5 Under· Totals Under ProBoth total runs 227.5 Over· Totals Over ProLos Angeles Lakers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
45% Team stats6 Los Angeles Lakers team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST ProSacramento Kings team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST ProLos Angeles Lakers team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points ProSacramento Kings team rebounds 42.5 Over· Team REB ProSacramento Kings team runs 111.5 Over· Team Points ProLos Angeles Lakers team rebounds 41.5 Over· Team REB Prostrength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.