Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 5 (Mon) · 11:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Memphis Grizzlies 50%
Atlanta Hawks 50%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 0)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Memphis Grizzlies Atlanta Hawks
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Memphis Grizzlies within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 0.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
77% Memphis Grizzlies within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 0.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
67% Memphis Grizzlies within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 ProAtlanta Hawks wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 ProAtlanta Hawks wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 ProAtlanta Hawks wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Progames4 Both total runs 228.5 Under· Totals Under ProAtlanta Hawks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 0)
50% Memphis Grizzlies Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied
50% Both total runs 228.5 Over· Totals Over ProTeam stats6 Memphis Grizzlies team assists 27.5 Over· Team AST ProAtlanta Hawks team runs 113.5 Over· Team Points ProMemphis Grizzlies team runs 114.5 Over· Team Points ProAtlanta Hawks team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB ProAtlanta Hawks team assists 30.5 Over· Team AST ProMemphis Grizzlies team rebounds 42.5 Over· Team REB Prostrength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.