Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 10 (Sat) · 12:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Memphis Grizzlies 9%
Chicago Bulls 91%
Behind the probability season record 1-0 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Memphis Grizzlies Chicago Bulls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Chicago Bulls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 1-0 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
91% Both total runs 231.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 231.5 Over· Totals Over Memphis Grizzlies Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 1-1 vs 1-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
9% Spread6 Chicago Bulls wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% Chicago Bulls wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Chicago Bulls wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Memphis Grizzlies within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 Memphis Grizzlies within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Memphis Grizzlies within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Team stats6 Memphis Grizzlies team assists 27.5 Over· Team AST Memphis Grizzlies team runs 114.5 Over· Team Points Chicago Bulls team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points Chicago Bulls team assists 28.5 Over· Team AST Chicago Bulls team rebounds 45.5 Over· Team REB Memphis Grizzlies team rebounds 42.5 Over· Team REB strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
