Skip to content
SPOLYTICS
BoardNBA / Game center

Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder — Game center

Final NBA
Paycom CenterOct 8 (Thu) · 12:00 AM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast
Milwaukee Bucks45%
Oklahoma City Thunder55%

Locked before start

  • Milwaukee BucksAway Win· Away Team · Win Probability45%Hit
  • Oklahoma City Thunderteam assists 25.5 Over· Team AST51%
  • Milwaukee Bucksteam assists 25.5 Over· Team AST51%

Showing 3 of 10 locked markets

Behind the probability

season record 0-2 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability
Win% gap
0.000 vs 0.500
-30.0%p
Home edge
+3.5%
+3.5%p

Head to head

Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder

Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.

Data source: ESPN API

Explore the models

Spread6
games4
Team stats6
strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime.

Get today's probabilities in your inbox

One email per day. No picks, no spam.

Free forever. By subscribing you consent to receive the daily probability email; unsubscribe any time from the link in every email.Privacy notice

Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.