Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 7 (Wed) · 11:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Minnesota Timberwolves 97%
Indiana Pacers 3%
Behind the probability season record 1-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Minnesota Timberwolves Indiana Pacers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Minnesota Timberwolves Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 1-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 221.5 Under· Totals Under ProBoth total runs 221.5 Over· Totals Over ProIndiana Pacers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-0 vs 1-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 1)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Spread6 Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 ProIndiana Pacers within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 ProIndiana Pacers within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 ProIndiana Pacers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 ProTeam stats6 Indiana Pacers team rebounds 41.5 Over· Team REB ProIndiana Pacers team runs 107.5 Over· Team Points ProIndiana Pacers team assists 27.5 Over· Team AST ProMinnesota Timberwolves team runs 113.5 Over· Team Points ProMinnesota Timberwolves team rebounds 44.5 Over· Team REB ProMinnesota Timberwolves team assists 26.5 Over· Team AST Prostrength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.