Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers — NBA win probability & player stat model

Final NBA

Away

Minnesota Timberwolves

112123

Home

Indiana Pacers

Hilton ColiseumOct 7 (Wed) · 11:00 PM UTC

What did the model expect?

Pregame forecast

Minnesota Timberwolves97%

Indiana Pacers3%

Locked before start

Indiana PacersHome Win· Home Team · Win Probability3%Hit
Indiana Pacersteam rebounds 41.5 Over· Team REB52%
Bothtotal runs 221.5 Under· Totals Under51%Miss

Showing 3 of 10 locked markets

Behind the probability

season record 1-1 vs 1-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied

How to read this probability

A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.

What moved this probability

Win% gap

1.000 vs 0.500

-30.0%p

Home edge

+3.5%

-3.5%p

Head to head

Minnesota TimberwolvesIndiana Pacers

Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.

Data source: ESPN API

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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Indiana Pacers — Game center

What did the model expect?

Head to head

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