New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 8 (Thu) · 11:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish New Orleans Pelicans 50%
Miami Heat 50%
Behind the probability season record 1-0 vs 1-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 0)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head New Orleans Pelicans Miami Heat
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 New Orleans Pelicans within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 0.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
77% New Orleans Pelicans within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 0.1 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
67% New Orleans Pelicans within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Miami Heat wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Miami Heat wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Miami Heat wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Team stats6 New Orleans Pelicans team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB New Orleans Pelicans team runs 115.5 Over· Team Points Miami Heat team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points Miami Heat team rebounds 46.5 Over· Team REB Miami Heat team assists 29.5 Over· Team AST New Orleans Pelicans team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST games4 Miami Heat Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-0 vs 1-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 1 / away 0)
50% New Orleans Pelicans Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-0 vs 1-0 — away adjustment applied
50% Both total runs 231.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 231.5 Under· Totals Under strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
