New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 7 (Wed) · 12:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish New Orleans Pelicans 45%
Oklahoma City Thunder 55%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head New Orleans Pelicans Oklahoma City Thunder
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 New Orleans Pelicans within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
75% New Orleans Pelicans within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
63% New Orleans Pelicans within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Oklahoma City Thunder wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 games4 Oklahoma City Thunder Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
55% Both total runs 234.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 234.5 Over· Totals Over New Orleans Pelicans Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
45% Team stats6 Oklahoma City Thunder team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST New Orleans Pelicans team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB New Orleans Pelicans team runs 115.5 Over· Team Points Oklahoma City Thunder team runs 119.5 Over· Team Points Oklahoma City Thunder team rebounds 44.5 Over· Team REB New Orleans Pelicans team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
Free forever. By subscribing you consent to receive the daily probability email; unsubscribe any time from the link in every email.Privacy notice
Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
