New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 5 (Mon) · 11:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish New York Knicks 45%
Philadelphia 76ers 55%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head New York Knicks Philadelphia 76ers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 New York Knicks within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
75% New York Knicks within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
63% New York Knicks within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 ProPhiladelphia 76ers wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 ProPhiladelphia 76ers wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 ProPhiladelphia 76ers wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Progames4 Philadelphia 76ers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
55% Both total runs 232.5 Under· Totals Under ProBoth total runs 232.5 Over· Totals Over ProNew York Knicks Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
45% Team stats6 Philadelphia 76ers team runs 115.5 Over· Team Points ProPhiladelphia 76ers team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB ProPhiladelphia 76ers team assists 24.5 Over· Team AST ProNew York Knicks team rebounds 45.5 Over· Team REB ProNew York Knicks team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points ProNew York Knicks team assists 27.5 Over· Team AST Prostrength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.