Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 8 (Thu) · 12:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Orlando Magic 3%
Memphis Grizzlies 97%
Behind the probability season record 1-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 1)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Orlando Magic Memphis Grizzlies
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Memphis Grizzlies Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 1-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 1)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 225.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 225.5 Under· Totals Under Orlando Magic Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-0 vs 1-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Spread6 Memphis Grizzlies wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% Memphis Grizzlies wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Orlando Magic within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 Orlando Magic within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Orlando Magic within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Team stats6 Memphis Grizzlies team assists 27.5 Over· Team AST Memphis Grizzlies team runs 114.5 Over· Team Points Orlando Magic team assists 26.5 Over· Team AST Orlando Magic team runs 111.5 Over· Team Points Orlando Magic team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB Memphis Grizzlies team rebounds 42.5 Over· Team REB strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
