Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 8 (Thu) · 12:00 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Phoenix Suns 3%
Chicago Bulls 97%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 1)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Phoenix Suns Chicago Bulls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Chicago Bulls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-0 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 1)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 224.5 Under· Totals Under ProBoth total runs 224.5 Over· Totals Over ProPhoenix Suns Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-1 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Spread6 Chicago Bulls wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% Chicago Bulls wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Chicago Bulls wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 ProPhoenix Suns within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 ProPhoenix Suns within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 ProPhoenix Suns within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 ProTeam stats6 Phoenix Suns team assists 24.5 Over· Team AST ProChicago Bulls team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points ProChicago Bulls team assists 28.5 Over· Team AST ProPhoenix Suns team runs 108.5 Over· Team Points ProPhoenix Suns team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB ProChicago Bulls team rebounds 45.5 Over· Team REB Prostrength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.