Phoenix Suns at Detroit Pistons — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 5 (Mon) · 11:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Phoenix Suns 41%
Detroit Pistons 59%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 1)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Phoenix Suns Detroit Pistons
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Phoenix Suns within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 2.4 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
72% Phoenix Suns within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Medium
expected margin 2.4 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
60% Phoenix Suns within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Detroit Pistons wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Detroit Pistons wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Detroit Pistons wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 games4 Detroit Pistons Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 1)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
59% Both total runs 225.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 225.5 Under· Totals Under Phoenix Suns Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
41% Team stats6 Detroit Pistons team runs 117.5 Over· Team Points Detroit Pistons team assists 27.5 Over· Team AST Detroit Pistons team rebounds 45.5 Over· Team REB Phoenix Suns team assists 24.5 Over· Team AST Phoenix Suns team runs 108.5 Over· Team Points Phoenix Suns team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
