Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 9 (Fri) · 2:30 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Sacramento Kings 9%
Los Angeles Lakers 91%
Behind the probability season record 1-1 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Los Angeles Lakers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 1-1 vs 0-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
91% Both total runs 227.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 227.5 Over· Totals Over Sacramento Kings Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-1 vs 1-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
9% Spread6 Los Angeles Lakers wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
91% Los Angeles Lakers wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 95% → expected margin 20.6 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 Sacramento Kings within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 Sacramento Kings within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 Sacramento Kings within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Team stats6 Los Angeles Lakers team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST Los Angeles Lakers team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points Sacramento Kings team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST Sacramento Kings team rebounds 42.5 Over· Team REB Sacramento Kings team runs 111.5 Over· Team Points Los Angeles Lakers team rebounds 41.5 Over· Team REB strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
