Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets — Game center
CU Events CenterOct 4 (Sun) · 11:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect?
Pregame forecastUtah Jazz45%
Denver Nuggets55%
Locked before start
- Utah JazzAway Win· Away Team · Win Probability45%Hit
- Utah Jazzteam rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB51%
- Bothtotal runs 239.5 Over· Totals Over50%Miss
Showing 3 of 10 locked markets
Behind the probability
season record 0-1 vs 1-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability
A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Win% gap
0.000 vs 1.000
-40.0%p
Home edge
+3.5%
+3.5%p
Head to head
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models
Spread6
games4
Team stats6
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.