Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 4 (Sun) · 11:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Utah Jazz 45%
Denver Nuggets 55%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Utah Jazz Denver Nuggets
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
Spread6 Utah Jazz within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 10 pts or wins
75% Utah Jazz within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 High
expected margin 1.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 6 pts or wins
63% Utah Jazz within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Denver Nuggets wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 Denver Nuggets wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 Denver Nuggets wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 games4 Denver Nuggets Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
55% Both total runs 239.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 239.5 Under· Totals Under Utah Jazz Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-0 vs 0-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
45% Team stats6 Utah Jazz team rebounds 43.5 Over· Team REB Utah Jazz team runs 117.5 Over· Team Points Utah Jazz team assists 29.5 Over· Team AST Denver Nuggets team runs 122.5 Over· Team Points Denver Nuggets team rebounds 44.5 Over· Team REB Denver Nuggets team assists 29.5 Over· Team AST strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
