Washington Wizards at New York Knicks — Game center Scheduled NBA
VS
Oct 8 (Thu) · 11:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Washington Wizards 90%
New York Knicks 10%
Behind the probability season record 0-0 vs 0-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Washington Wizards New York Knicks
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Washington Wizards Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-0 vs 0-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
90% Both total runs 223.5 Under· Totals Under ProBoth total runs 223.5 Over· Totals Over ProNew York Knicks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Medium
season record 0-1 vs 0-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· absence adjustment (home 0 / away 2)· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 798 past events)· cap applied
10% Spread6 Washington Wizards wins by 4+· Spread -3.5 High
win probability 94% → expected margin 19.2 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
89% Washington Wizards wins by 6+· Spread -5.5 High
win probability 94% → expected margin 19.2 pts, 최종 score 차 표준편차 12.5 pts normal approximation
86% Washington Wizards wins by 10+· Spread -9.5 ProNew York Knicks within 10 pts· Spread +9.5 ProNew York Knicks within 6 pts· Spread +5.5 ProNew York Knicks within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 ProTeam stats6 Washington Wizards team rebounds 41.5 Over· Team REB ProNew York Knicks team rebounds 45.5 Over· Team REB ProNew York Knicks team runs 116.5 Over· Team Points ProWashington Wizards team runs 106.5 Over· Team Points ProNew York Knicks team assists 27.5 Over· Team AST ProWashington Wizards team assists 25.5 Over· Team AST Prostrength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.