Akron Zips at Central Michigan Chippewas — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Akron Zips 10%
Central Michigan Chippewas 89%
Locked before start
Central Michigan Chippewas Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability 89% Central Michigan Chippewas within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 70% Akron Zips wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 64% Showing 3 of 50 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 11.8 vs 19.5 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
11.8 vs 19.5
-4.0%p
Head to head Akron Zips Central Michigan Chippewas
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Justin Ruffin Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Sean Patrick 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kyan Mason 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Central Michigan Chippewas Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 11.8 vs 19.5 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
89% Both total runs 31.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 31.5 Over· Totals Over Akron Zips Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
10% Winning margin8 Central Michigan Chippewas within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 7.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
70% Akron Zips wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 19.5 vs 11.8 → expected margin 7.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
64% Central Michigan Chippewas within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Akron Zips wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Central Michigan Chippewas within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Akron Zips wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Central Michigan Chippewas within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Akron Zips wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Justin Ruffin Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Sean Patrick 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kyan Mason 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kyan Mason receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Sean Patrick receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cibastian Broughton rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jayden Clerveaux rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Angel Flores rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Elijah Alexander receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Langston Lewis receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Vaughn Blue receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Justin Ruffin Jr. receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jordan Gant rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Angel Flores pass yds 119.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Langston Lewis 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Brayden Roggow pass yds 134.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Langston Lewis 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Brayden Roggow pass yds 134.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Angel Flores pass yds 119.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jordan Gant rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Justin Ruffin Jr. receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Langston Lewis receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Vaughn Blue receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Elijah Alexander receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Angel Flores rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jayden Clerveaux rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cibastian Broughton rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Sean Patrick receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kyan Mason receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kyan Mason 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Justin Ruffin Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Sean Patrick 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 Central Michigan Chippewas team runs 11.5 Over· Team Points Akron Zips team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Central Michigan Chippewas Team pass yds 74.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Akron Zips Team pass yds 189.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Central Michigan Chippewas Team rush yds 189.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Akron Zips Team rush yds 154.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.